Presage
Newsletter · weekly

The Presage Weekly

Every week: the signals that mattered, which scenario probabilities moved and why, any tripwires crossed, new branches added, and one playbook worth ten minutes. No hype, every claim sourced.

One email a week, plus an alert issue if a tripwire crosses. Unsubscribe in one click.

What an issue looks like

Issue format
  1. What moved: the 3–5 signals that mattered, one line each, sourced.
  2. Probability changes: every range that moved, from → to, and the reason.
  3. Tripwires: crossed or cleared this week, and what that changes.
  4. New branches: scenarios created this week and why.
  5. One playbook: a single scenario's response plan, for ten minutes' reading.
  6. Forces: which accelerants and brakes gained or lost pressure.